Posted: 10:49 pm Tuesday, March 11th, 2014

Bobinski amused by bubble-team analysis 

By Ken Sugiura

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, college basketball, brian gregory

Georgia Tech head coach Brian Gregory directs his team during an NCAA college basketball practice Tuesday for the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament in Greensboro, N.C. (Chuck Burton / AP)

As conference tournaments begin play, one staple of TV broadcasts will be analysts projecting bubble teams into the NCAA tournament based on an early-round win over a ranked team or a deep tournament run. Georgia Tech athletic director Mike Bobinski, who served five years on the NCAA Division I men’s basketball committee and was the chairman in 2012-13, heard it, too.

“It doesn’t work that way at all,” Bobinski said.

The committee takes into consideration a team’s entire season, not weighting more recent games more heavily than earlier ones. Bobinski acknowledged it was a challenge and sometimes required a conscious effort to adhere to the principals and procedures of the selection process.

“We always tried very hard to not let that recency effect of what’s happening right now, right before your eyes outweigh the 30 games you’ve already watched,” he said. “There’s a whole season’s worth of evidence that you’ve got to consider and a team having a great or really bad performance right at decision time shouldn’t be overly weighted.”

The only time a team’s most recent results would have the sort of impact that media members – and coaches – believe, Bobinski said, is “if, in fact, the games that they won to get there really put that team in a different light than the whole season that we watched them play.”

As committee members watched games in the selection room, Bobinski said, they listened to the predictions with bemusement.

“We heard it all,” he said. “Honestly, if you listened to all the folks who say, ‘Well, if so-and-so wins, then they’re going to be in,’ there would have been 112 teams in the tournament.”

12 comments
Born2Buzz
Born2Buzz

My question would be if teams that ARE on the bubble, like FSU who is 18-12, were to win 2 games in the tourney, making the final, finishing 20-13, cement their selection?

I thought the committee considered the "last 10" in their selections.  Maybe not.

waltbellamy
waltbellamy

I am amused by Bobinski's supposed grasp of the process.  Bobinski is in charge of decidedly medicore basketball and football programs.  Why would I give one tenth of a s--t about his opinion of anything?

inoto20
inoto20

Well, a team that has a guy or two out early in the season and loses some games they probably wouldn't otherwise would probably get the benefit of the doubt if they are playing well towards seasons end and healthy.

hamus14
hamus14

because he chaired the selection committee previously so he know the process as wlas anyone in the world

AugustaJacket
AugustaJacket

@inoto20  I'm not really a basketball guy, but it seems the 6-12 record in ACC play would hurt our chances.  I always thought you needed to be at least CLOSE to .500 in league play to be considered.  You're right about the injuries, though.  They seemed to really hurt us this year.

83Texter
83Texter

@hamus14 Bobinski has no clue how to manage a major colleges athletic programs. Hence, Paul Johnson is still employeed

KenAJC
KenAJC moderator

@AugustaJacket @inoto20I'm not really referring specifically to Tech's chances, just Bobinski's thoughts on the process in general.

ToeMeetsLeather
ToeMeetsLeather

No, but he did sleep at a Holiday Inn Express recently.

charlestonian77
charlestonian77

@83Texter @hamus14 maybe we should fire mbob and cpj and let texter run the program.  he obviously is a hall of fame something or other.