CBS bracketologist Jerry Palm is holding to his belief that Georgia Tech will need to win the ACC tournament to get into the NCAA tournament, though not as firmly as previously.
Were the Yellow Jackets to upset fourth-ranked Virginia in Thursday night’s quarterfinal and either 11th-ranked Miami or Virginia Tech in the semifinals to reach the Saturday night final, Palm said that “it might get them on the bubble.”
In a previous interview following Tech’s win over Notre Dame Feb. 20, Palm said that, were the Jackets to lose to Louisville despite winning the three other remaining regular-season games (which is what came to pass), Tech would have to earn the ACC’s automatic bid to get into the NCAA tournament for the first time since 2010. He noted that, with a loss to Louisville, the next defeat for Tech would be its 14th, and that no at-large team had been invited to the tournament with 14 losses since 2011.
“They might still need to win the next one,” Palm said, referring to a scenario in which the Jackets reached the finals. “It depends on what other teams are doing.”
The website teamrankings.com, which runs thousands of computer simulations of games daily, gives Tech a 35.3 percent chance of getting in with 21 wins, meaning Tech makes the finals but loses. The Jackets have an 11.1 percent chance if they upset Virginia but lose in the semifinals. They have a 2.2 percent chance if they lose to Virginia.
The website also gives Tech an 18.8 percent chance of upsetting the Cavaliers.