Georgia Tech bowl projections, computer rankings after week 13

November 26, 2016 Athens - Georgia Tech running back Qua Searcy (1) leaps over for a game winning touchdown in the second half at Sanford Stadium on Saturday, November 26, 2016. Georgia Tech won 28-27 over the Georgia. HYOSUB SHIN / HSHIN@AJC.COM

November 26, 2016 Athens – Georgia Tech running back Qua Searcy (1) leaps over for a game winning touchdown in the second half at Sanford Stadium on Saturday, November 26, 2016. Georgia Tech won 28-27 over the Georgia. HYOSUB SHIN / HSHIN@AJC.COM

Georgia Tech’s strong finish was reflected in various rankings and bowl projections, which includes two forecasts that the Yellow Jackets will go bowling in Jacksonville, Fla., at the TaxSlayer (formerly Gator) Bowl. College Football News gave the Jackets a 13-spot jump, from No. 41 to 28.

The variance is considerable. Tech is No. 51 by the ESPN power index. I think part of it I would attribute to the College Football News (which is determined by people and not computer formulas) ranking is that it is probably more reflective of wins/losses and how teams stand right now, whereas the other rankings take the entire season’s data into consideration equally. Also, Tech’s defensive numbers probably weigh down the computer rankings more than a human one. It’s interesting that Tech’s ranking in the ESPN index is actually lower than its preseason rank, but the Jackets finished 2.3 wins better than the projection.

 

Bowl projections

bowlprojection13

ESPN Power Index

espnrankings

This week between: Minnesota and San Diego State

Sagarin

Week 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rank 42 39 43 44 45 45 46 47 56 47 47 45

This week between: Arkansas and N.C. State

Football Outsiders

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rank 42 44 43 44 46 53 47 45 50 60 51 53 47

This week between: Tulsa and Minnesota

College Football News

Week Pre. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rank 64 54 54 43 42 47 44 42 45 50 53 42 41 28

This week between: Washington State and Pitt


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